[MCD] SWOMCD
Mesoscale Convective Discussions
mcd at goshenarc.org
Mon Jul 10 14:59:54 UTC 2006
ACUS11 KWNS 101459
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101459
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-101630-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1467
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0959 AM CDT MON JUL 10 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...ME
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 101459Z - 101630Z
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH THE STRONGEST
TSTMS LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES TSTMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE HIGHER
TERRAIN FROM JUST E OF MWN TO APPROXIMATELY 65 NNW BGR. 12Z
UPPER-AIR ANALYSIS AND SOUNDING DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF
RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH VORTICITY
MAXIMUM LIFTING NEWD THROUGH VT/NH. WHEN COUPLED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE BY
AFTERNOON WITH SBCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. THOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK...THE STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IN THE MOST
INTENSE STORMS.
..MEAD.. 07/10/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...
45866780 45216788 44566958 43917117 44107172 44597168
45137109 45916957 46286874 46406820
WWWW
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