[MCD] SWOMCD
Mesoscale Convective Discussions
mcd at goshenarc.org
Mon Jul 10 19:48:44 UTC 2006
ACUS11 KWNS 101948
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101948
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-102045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1469
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CNTRL/ERN OH INTO WRN PA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 590...
VALID 101948Z - 102045Z
THROUGH 22Z...GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINDS/HAIL WILL EXIST
OVER SRN PORTIONS OF WW AREA.
AS OF 1930Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A BROKEN LINE OF
TSTMS FROM NERN PA /20 NE OF FKL/ TO NEAR FDY IN NWRN OH. THE MOST
INTENSE PORTION OF THIS LINE WAS LOCATED OVER RICHLAND...ASHLAND AND
WAYNE COUNTIES IN OH WITH A GENERAL MOTION OF 330/15 KTS. RUC
OBJECTIVE FIELDS AND LOCAL VWP PLOTS INDICATE THAT THIS ACTIVITY IS
OCCURRING ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW /30-40
KTS AT 500 MB/ ASSOCIATED WITH VORTICITY MAXIMUM TRANSLATING SEWD
THROUGH SWRN ONTARIO. RESULTING WIND PROFILES ARE INDICATIVE OF A
MARGINAL SUPERCELL ENVIRONMENT WITH 30-35 KTS OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
GIVEN MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.
INDEED...PERIODIC MESOCYCLONES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH STRONGER
STORMS OVER NERN OH INTO NWRN PA THIS AFTERNOON. EXTRAPOLATION OF
MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS CONVECTIVE LINE INDICATES LEADING EDGE
WILL MOVE S OF WW 590 BY 2130-2200Z. SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS
INTO EARLY EVENING...AND AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NECESSARY.
..MEAD.. 07/10/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...ILN...
40368316 40638262 40808176 40968091 41098044 40678026
40258036 40038163 39938273 39998307
WWWW
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