[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jul 10 19:59:12 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 101959
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101958 
MTZ000-IDZ000-102230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1470
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN ID AND NWRN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101958Z - 102230Z

A FEW STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LEVELS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND/OR HAIL.
A WW IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME DUE TO EXPECTED ISOLATED COVERAGE.

STRONG UPPER VORT MAX CONTINUES EWD ACROSS ERN WA INTO WRN MT.
COOLING ALOFT...COMBINED WITH SURFACE HEATING HAS ALLOWED MARGINAL
INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP WITH STORMS NOW EVOLVING FROM NRN ID INTO
NWRN MT. STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ALONG WITH 35-40 KT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR VECTORS WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW LONG LIVED CELLS TO DEVELOP
BY LATE AFTERNOON.  THE LARGEST HAIL STONES MAY REACH 1.50" DIAMETER
WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

..JEWELL.. 07/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TFX...MSO...OTX...

48951696 48971015 47540951 46481059 46331292 46401481
46821550 48031650 

WWWW