[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 302050
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302049 
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-302245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0091
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0249 PM CST MON JAN 30 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AL/SRN HALF OF GA/SRN SC/NRN FL AND THE FL
PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 23...

VALID 302049Z - 302245Z

STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE MOVING EWD ACROSS WW 23. NEW
WW MAY BE REQUIRED FURTHER S AND E AS STORMS DEVELOP EWD/SEWD OUT OF
CURRENT WW.

THUNDERSTORMS -- THOUGH SLOW TO ORGANIZE/INTENSIFY DUE TO WEAK
CONVERGENCE AND LIMITED INSTABILITY -- CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS SERN
AL AND CENTRAL/SWRN GA ATTM.  SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED
CONVECTION...SUGGESTING THAT THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL WILL CONTINUE WITH STRONGER STORMS ACROSS THIS AREA.

SEVERE THREAT SHOULD PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING...AS MID-LEVEL JET
MAX MOVES EWD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE SRN ATLANTIC. 
SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER E AND SE OF CURRENT WW MAY OFFSET
THE LOSS OF HEATING...AND THUS YIELD SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR A
CONTINUATION OF THE SEVERE THREAT TO THE SERN ATLANTIC COAST.  GIVEN
THIS...A NEW WATCH EXTENDING FROM THE FL PANHANDLE/NRN FL NWD TO
PARTS OF SRN SC MAY BE REQUIRED BY 22Z.

..GOSS.. 01/30/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

30248825 31278700 33338247 32907973 31998087 30708141
30028130 29358313 30038401 29578503 29968603 29858756 

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