[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 140831
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140831 
NCZ000-VAZ000-141000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0062
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0231 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC AND SERN VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 21...

VALID 140831Z - 141000Z

LINE OF TSTMS...WITH EMBEDDED LEWPS AND BOWS...CONTINUES TO
TRANSLATE NEWD ACROSS ERN NC AND SERN VA AT 40-45 KTS. 
EXTRAPOLATION HAS THE LINE CLEARING THE MAINLAND BETWEEN 09-10Z AND
THE COASTAL WATERS BY 1030Z.  

HIGHEST TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO HAVE SHIFTED NWD INTO TIDEWATER VA
WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW REMAINS BACKED IN RESPONSE TO STRONGER
PRESSURE FALL AXIS OVER PA.  FARTHER S...TIME-SERIES TO THE VWP AND
SURFACE WINDS SHOW A VEERING WIND PATTERN WITH TIME AHEAD OF THE
TSTMS. BUT...THERE CONTINUES TO BE CONSIDERABLE CROSS-COMPONENT
FLOW TO THE SHORT-LINE SEGMENTS AND BOWING STRUCTURES WILL MAINTAIN
A DAMAGING WIND THREAT OVER THE NC OUTER BANKS ALONG WITH AN ISOLD
TORNADO THREAT.

..RACY.. 01/14/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...

34407668 36617629 37217645 37437650 37397530 35217516
34447588 

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