[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Jan 13 21:35:58 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 132136
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132136 
FLZ000-GAZ000-132300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0055
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 PM CST FRI JAN 13 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN GA INTO NERN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 132136Z - 132300Z

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE INCREASING AND A WW WILL BE
ISSUED.

STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL WAA REGIME HAS SUPPORTED AN INCREASE IN
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT FROM NEAR GNV TO SE OF AYS. 
HERE...TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW/MID 70S COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOWER 60S ARE CONTRIBUTING TO SBCAPES OF AROUND 1000 J/KG.  THIS
INSTABILITY IN CONJUNCTION WITH MODESTLY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
/WHICH IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING/ SUGGESTS THE
POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED...SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS.

STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WITHIN THIS PERSISTENT WAA PATTERN...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS
MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE W.  THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

..MEAD.. 01/13/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...

29678110 29278212 29848258 31318233 31518210 31348144 

WWWW