[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jan 2 07:24:54 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 020725
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020725 
ILZ000-MOZ000-020900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0008
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0125 AM CST MON JAN 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN MO INTO WRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 020725Z - 020900Z

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 12Z ACROSS
CENTRAL INTO ERN MO AND WRN IL.  PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE HAIL AND
STRONG WIND GUSTS.  WW MAY BE NEEDED.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED SEVERAL BANDS OF STORMS HAD RECENTLY
DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF NRN INTO CENTRAL AND ERN MO ALONG/EAST OF
SURFACE COLD FRONT WHICH HAS NOW ENTERED WRN MO.  DESPITE WEAK
INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDING NW-SE ACROSS MO...SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR
AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH NOW LOCATED ALONG THE
KS/MO BORDER SHOULD AID IN ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT.  STEEP LAPSE
RATE ENVIRONMENT WITH COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /AROUND -20 C AT
500 MB/ MAY SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH SEVERE HAIL.

ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD EWD OVERNIGHT INTO THE
MORNING AHEAD OF EWD MOVING UPPER TROUGH.

..PETERS.. 01/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...

38969346 40119318 40289128 40218998 39268938 38028930
37409006 37169094 37359221 

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