[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions MCD at goshenarc.org
Mon Jan 2 02:25:42 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 020226
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020226 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-020430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0007
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0826 PM CST SUN JAN 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL...SWRN GA AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 1...

VALID 020226Z - 020430Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS
MAINLY OVER THE SRN HALF OF WW 001.

THIS EVENING A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM SRN GA THROUGH SRN MS NWWD
INTO N CNTRL MS. S OF THIS BOUNDARY...GULF MOISTURE CONTINUES TO
RETURN NWWD WITH LOW LEVEL DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER
60S INLAND AND AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST. CLUSTER OF STORMS PERSISTS
FROM THE WRN FL PANHANDLE NEWD THROUGH SRN AL NEWD THROUGH S CNTRL
GA. WV IMAGERY SUGGESTS MID/UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE IN WAKE OF LEAD
SHORTWAVE HAS OVERSPREAD THIS AREA. HOWEVER...SLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
IMPINGING ON THE OUTFLOW PRODUCED BY ONGOING STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO
INITIATE NEW STORMS NEXT FEW HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO
STRENGTHEN FARTHER WEST THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS SHOULD HELP TO ENHANCE
LOW LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WRN HALF OF WW 001
THIS EVENING.

..DIAL.. 01/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

31168339 30768402 30318597 30298752 31758743 31988567
31818438 31778393 32048319 

WWWW





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