[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 050118
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050117 
MIZ000-050545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0125
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0717 PM CST SAT FEB 04 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 050117Z - 050545Z

MODERATE/LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS
MUCH OF EASTERN LOWER MI THROUGH THE EVENING. SNOW RATES OF 1 IN/HR
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 06Z.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS EVENING DEPICTS OCCLUDING/CLOSED LOW OVER
THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES...WITH 989 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED OVER LAKE
HURON AT 01Z. ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS CYCLONE...ELEVATED
MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS WRAPPING WESTWARD INTO LOWER MICHIGAN IN
PRESENCE OF STRONG UVVS. AS SEEN IN CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY...MID
LEVEL /800-600 MB/ FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
BANDING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SNOW RATES. 00Z DETROIT RAOB FEATURES
DEEPLY SATURATED /1.5 KM/ DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER. COUPLED WITH AMPLE
UVVS...AND ENHANCED BY MOIST TRAJECTORIES OFF OF LAKE HURON...SNOW
RATES OF 1 IN/HR WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 06Z. IN
ADDITION...INCREASINGLY STRONG NORTH WINDS -- AS SEEN IN LOWEST FEW
KM TRENDS OF DETROIT/ALPENA WSR-88D VADS -- WILL FURTHER CONTRIBUTE
TO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

..GUYER.. 02/05/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

42948245 42188291 41998331 42088381 42398420 43698429
44788525 45038539 45488506 45698455 45588398 45368356
44858328 44578324 44088347 43848323 44048298 43978273
43868258 43428246 

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