[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 031820
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031820 
MEZ000-032215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1220 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN ME

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION 

VALID 031820Z - 032215Z

AFTER INITIAL SNOW...A SEVERAL HOUR WINDOW OF PREDOMINANT FREEZING
RAIN IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE. HOURLY LIQUID
EQUIVALENTS OF 0.05-0.10 INCH OR GREATER APPEARS LIKELY...WITH SOME
ICE ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
ATTENDANT 997 MB SURFACE LOW INVOF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH BROAD
PRECIPITATION SHIELD /TIED TO STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT/ SPREADING
ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ALTHOUGH INITIAL PRECIP TYPE
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE WILL BE IN FORM OF SNOW...ENCROACHING MID
LEVEL WARM LAYER WILL SUPPORT SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN AMIDST
STRONG WAA PROFILES AS SEEN IN 12Z RAOBS AND REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS.
LATEST RUC/NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND SREF CONSENSUS SUGGESTS A
GENERAL TRANSITION TO PREDOMINANT FREEZING RAIN BETWEEN 20Z-22Z
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE...ESPECIALLY N/NW OF A MILLINOCKET TO PRESQUE
ISLE AXIS.

..GUYER.. 02/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

46576790 46036835 45806892 45816954 46046997 46267013
46537008 47036969 47376920 47396833 47136779 46936766 

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