[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Feb 2 05:44:31 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 020544
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020544 
LAZ000-020715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0096
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST WED FEB 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 25...

VALID 020544Z - 020715Z

AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE AS A SQUALL-LINE MOVES
EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN PART OF WW 25 OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN UPPER-LOW IN SCNTRL TX WITH A
DRY SLOT ADVANCING QUICKLY EWD ENTERING SW LA ATTM. A LINE OF STRONG
STORMS IS ONGOING JUST AHEAD OF THE DRY SLOT WITH SFC DEWPOINTS
AHEAD OF THE LINE IN THE 55 TO 60 F DEGREE RANGE. ALTHOUGH
INSTABILITY IS RELATIVELY WEAK AHEAD OF THE LINE...A 50 KT LOW-LEVEL
JET OVER SWRN LA IS CREATING A STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT
WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS. DUE TO
THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE MAY
HAVE A BRIEF TORNADO POTENTIAL. IN ADDITION...THE STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL MAKE WIND DAMAGE AND/OR HAIL POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGER LINE SEGMENTS.

..BROYLES.. 02/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...

29069079 29259212 29539267 30349272 30709203 30559078
30339010 29808986 29239016 

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