[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 250341
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250341 
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-250445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2273
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1041 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB/WRN IA/FAR SE SD

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 814...

VALID 250341Z - 250445Z

REMAINDER OF TORNADO WATCH 814 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS
SCHEDULED AT 04Z...WITH A WATCH REPLACEMENT NOT EXPECTED.

TORNADO THREAT HAS DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY ACROSS TORNADO WATCH
814...WITH PRIMARY HAZARD NOW ISOLD LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. BULK OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ACROSS NEB ARE OCCURRING WELL
WITHIN ELEVATED POST-COLD FRONTAL REGIME...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
NEAR SFC-FRONTAL ACTIVITY ONGOING ALONG/SOUTH OF I-80 IN SCNTRL NEB.
KUEX VAD IN CONJUCTION WITH REGIONAL PROFILER NETWORK SUGGESTS 30-40
KT SLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH SWD SAGGING
BAROCLINIC ZONE OVERNIGHT. AMPLE CLOUD BEARING SHEAR AND ELEVATED
MUCAPE -- AS MUCH AS 1500-2000 J/KG OVERNIGHT -- WILL CONTINUE
THREAT FOR ISOLD LARGE HAIL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

..GUYER.. 09/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

41629606 40879779 40749958 41880014 43069857 43629559
43219518 42239570 

WWWW