[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 250043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250043 
NEZ000-250215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2272
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN NEB/SERN SD

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 814...

VALID 250043Z - 250215Z

...THREAT FOR MAINLY LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE
HOURS...

TSTMS HAVE MAINLY DEVELOPED ALONG COLD FRONT/LEE TROUGH AND TORNADO
THREAT HAS REMAINED LIMITED. SUPERCELL NOW AFFECTING ANTELOPE/BOONE
COUNTIES MAY POSE A TORNADO THREAT...ESPECIALLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH
OLD OUTFLOW/COLD FRONT INTERSECTION. PROFILER DATA FROM NELIGH NEB
SUGGESTS VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS OR AN
ISOLD TORNADO WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR AROUND 25 KT AND CURVED HODOGRAPH
RESULTING FROM BACKED WIND FIELD. 

OTHERWISE...MOST OF THE OTHER SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
LARGE HAIL POSSIBLY UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS. SEVERAL
LEFT-SPLITTING STORMS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED INCLUDING CELL NOW JUST
SOUTHEAST OF NORTH PLATTE. SEVERE THREAT IS DECREASING ACROSS NWRN
PORTIONS OF WW 814 NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT.

..TAYLOR.. 09/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...

40739819 40030123 40540154 41870055 42489872 42659679
41569621 41109648 

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