[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 192254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192254 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-200030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2237
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0554 PM CDT MON SEP 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL IL INTO CNTRL/SRN IND AND OHIO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 801...

VALID 192254Z - 200030Z

CONTINUE REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 801.  NEW WW MAY NOT BE
NEEDED FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...BUT TRENDS ARE BEING
MONITORED.

INTENSE CONVECTION IS ONGOING IN PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENT BAND WHICH IS
NOW SPREADING THROUGH INSTABILITY AXIS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONGER
DAYTIME HEATING.  ACTIVITY WILL TEND TO SLOWLY DEVELOP EAST
SOUTHEASTWARD NEXT FEW HOURS.  AND...40+ KT WESTERLY MEAN FLOW
REGIME WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING...WIND GUSTS
NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST OF INDIANAPOLIS WESTWARD INTO AREAS SOUTH OF
DECATUR AND SPRINGFIELD IL BY 00-01Z.  THEREAFTER...AS BOUNDARY
COOLS...SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH...PARTICULARLY
EAST/SOUTH OF WW 801...WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER IS ALREADY COOLER/MORE
STABLE.

..KERR.. 09/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...LSX...

38478768 39168854 39579029 40219037 40418768 40898447
40658316 39578310 38478581 

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