[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 142141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142140 
KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-142345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2203
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0440 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO...WRN KS...EXTREME NERN NM AND OK PNHDL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 142140Z - 142345Z

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/PROFILER DATA INDICATE STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM CNTRL CO SWWD INTO NWRN NM.  STRONG LARGE SCALE
ASCENT WAS BEGINNING TO SPREAD EWD ONTO THE HIGH PLAINS AS EVIDENCED
BY INCREASING PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS SERN CO.  AS A RESULT...HIGH
BASED TSTMS HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY ALONG
THE MOUNTAINS.

SELY UPSLOPE FLOW HAS INCREASED SOMEWHAT IN RESPONSE TO THE PRESSURE
FALLS...ADVECTING MID-UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50F DEW POINTS WWD BENEATH
STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES /H5 TEMPERATURES AROUND MINUS 14C/.
 THOUGH INSTABILITY IS SOMEWHAT WEAK...VIGOROUS UVV WILL COMPENSATE
AND RESULT IN STRONG CONVECTION.  ISOLD LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS GUSTY
WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS...ESPECIALLY IF THEY CAN
ROOT INTO THE MORE UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS
THIS EVENING.

..RACY.. 09/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

36570460 37340464 38340517 39000498 39500404 39620291
39590174 39540044 39159994 38529989 37860007 37360042
37050080 36790157 36530256 

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