[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 142133
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142132 
TXZ000-142300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2202
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0432 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 142132Z - 142300Z

THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AND/OR WIND IS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME DUE TO EXPECTED LIMITED COVERAGE.

STORMS CONTINUE TO INITIATE NEAR THE FST AREA...WHERE DEWPOINTS HAVE
HELD IN THE LOWER 60S WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S. MODIFIED 17Z
MAF SOUNDING YIELDS AROUND 2000 J/KG MLCAPE DESPITE RELATIVELY POOR
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES DUE TO WARM AIR ALOFT.

AS UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES EWD OUT OF NM...SOME COOLING ALOFT IS
EXPECTED ALONG WITH INCREASING SHEAR PROFILES. WITH LITTLE
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IN PLACE...A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

..JEWELL.. 09/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

30570398 31050325 32140252 32230212 32200087 31880054
31050098 30380139 29890172 29850188 29760267 29890338 

WWWW