[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060753
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060752 
MNZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-060915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2152
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 AM CDT TUE SEP 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NERN NEB...WRN/NRN IA...EXTREME SERN
ND...SERN MN...W-CENTRAL WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 772...773...

VALID 060752Z - 060915Z

REMAINING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO EXIT BOTH WW 772 AND
773 BEFORE SCHEDULED 9Z EXPIRATION TIME FOR EACH...THEREFORE WWS MAY
BE CANCELED BEFORE THEN.  STRONGEST CONVECTION IS INDICATED FROM W
MCW TO NEAR SUX AS OF 745Z...MOVING ESEWD 20-25 KT...WITH STRONGEST
CORES LOCATED GENERALLY BEHIND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OF MCS.  ISOLATED
HAIL UP TO MARGINAL SEVERE SIZES ARE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER OVERALL
SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING AS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO
PROGRESSIVELY LESS UNSTABLE AND MORE WEAKLY SHEARED AIRMASS...SFC
AND ALOFT.  LARGER BUOYANCY REMAINS WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER THETAE IS
HIGHEST ACROSS N-CENTRAL WI...HOWEVER RAGGED/DISORGANIZED AND
OUTFLOW DOMINANT CONVECTIVE MODE DOES NOT INDICATE MUCH SEVERE
POTENTIAL IN NEAR TERM.  AS A RESULT...ADDITIONAL WW NOT ANTICIPATED
ATTM.

..EDWARDS.. 09/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...

42449761 42759608 43399441 44069277 44939226 44839198
44259181 43669181 42979245 42469322 41859447 41659535
41799623 42259741 

WWWW