[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Oct 4 21:03:30 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 042102
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042102 
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-042300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2313
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL NEB...NW IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 042102Z - 042300Z

THE STRONGER CELLS ACROSS ECNTRL NEB AND NW IA WILL HAVE POTENTIAL
FOR WIND DAMAGE AND LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY ACROSS THE REGION.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER ERN CO AND
WCNTRL NEB. LIFT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONT EXTENDING NEWD FROM SRN NEB INTO SW MN. SOUTHEAST OF THE
BOUNDARY...MODERATE INSTABILITY IS PRESENT WITH MUCAPE VALUES IN THE
1500 TO 2500 J/KG RANGE. IN ADDITION...VAD WIND PROFILERS NEAR THE
BOUNDARY SHOW 45 TO 55 KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGESTING THE
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. THE MOST
PROMINENT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND
DAMAGE.

..BROYLES.. 10/04/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

42989670 43439575 43499508 43349437 43119411 42759402
42189458 41179639 40389795 40289889 40789935 41379936
41889869 42179797 

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