[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Nov 15 20:57:25 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 152056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152055 
TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-152200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2432
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS...NWRN AL...MIDDLE/WRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 152055Z - 152200Z

A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY EAST OF WT 865 TO INCLUDE
MIDDLE TN AND PARTS OF NWRN AL.  THIS NEW WATCH WILL LIKELY REPLACE
PARTS OF WT 865 TO EXTEND IT IN DURATION ACROSS PARTS OF WRN TN AND
NRN MS.

LLJ/UPPER JET AXES WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD THIS EVENING ATOP A
MOIST AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.  THERE HAVE BEEN SEVERAL
LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS ACROSS WRN TN THIS AFTN AND THEY SHOULD MOVE
INTO MIDDLE TN LATER THIS AFTN.  OTHER STORMS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG/AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT ACROSS NRN MS.  LOW-DEEP
LAYER SHEAR PROFILES WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS/LEWPS WITH
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

..RACY.. 11/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...

35088599 33998677 32988760 33219100 36558901 36588703
36578488 36058523 

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