[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 151755
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151755 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-152000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2428
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL/SERN IND...WCNTRL/SWRN OH AND NWRN/NCNTRL KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 151755Z - 152000Z

TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY 20Z ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
SRN/CNTRL IND...SWRN/WCNTRL OH AND PERHAPS NWRN/NCNTRL KY.  

THE WARM FRONT HAS MOVED INTO SRN IND AND CNTRL OH EARLY THIS AFTN
AND SHOULD CONTINUE NWD TO THE I-70 CORRIDOR IN INDIANA AND INTO
WCNTRL OH BY 21Z.  WARM/MOIST ADVECTION WILL DESTABILIZE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER ALONG/S OF THE FRONT AND SUPPORT TSTM DEVELOPMENT...
ESPECIALLY AS THE SWLY LLJ AXIS SHIFTS EWD LATER THIS AFTN. 
CHARACTER OF THE CONVECTION ACROSS SRN IND HAS ALREADY EVOLVED INTO
DISCRETE CELLS.  VWP FROM WILMINGTON OH SHOWS A STRONG LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR PROFILE THAT WILL ONLY INCREASE LATER THIS AFTN/EVE.  DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL ALSO INCREASE AND SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND TORNADOES.  MAIN TORNADO THREAT WILL BE AFTER 21-22Z.

..RACY.. 11/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

40498627 40838482 40558293 38478404 38038445 37638501
37648576 37678637 38088629 

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