[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Nov 15 14:33:32 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 151432
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151431 
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-151530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2425
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0831 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL MO...CNTRL/SRN IL...CNTRL/SRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 151431Z - 151530Z

TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY 15-16Z FOR PARTS OF THE AREA.

14Z MESOANALYSIS PLACES A WARM FRONT ALONG THE OH RVR WEST TO A
DEVELOPING LOW OVER SWRN MO.  A SECONDARY WARM FRONT WAS FARTHER
N...FROM THE LOW NEWD INTO SCNTRL IL AND CNTRL IND.  AS THE PCPN
SHIELD N OF THE OH RVR BECOMES MORE CELLULAR...THE WARM FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP QUICKLY NWD TO WHERE THE SECONDARY WARM FRONT
IS LOCATED.  WARM MOIST AIR MASS...VERY STRONG LOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES.

..RACY.. 11/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...

38559329 39849010 40088709 40058568 39178547 38378601
38098740 37659329 

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