[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 130515
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130515 
ARZ000-130645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2412
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 PM CST SAT NOV 12 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 130515Z - 130645Z

PARTS OF CNTRL AR ON THE ERN EDGE OF TORNADO WATCH 860 COULD
EXPERIENCE SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. IF CURRENT
ACTIVITY MAINTAINS INTENSITY WHILE TRACKING EWD...A NEW WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED.

MESOSCALE WARM FRONT APPEARS TO HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL
AR LAST 1-2 HOURS. STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY AND HAVE RECENTLY INTENSIFIED. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
TO TRACK ACROSS SALINE...PULASKI...AND FAULKNER COUNTIES WITH THE
THREAT OF HAIL AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS. VWP FROM LZK WAS
INDICATING STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR MORE THAN ADEQUATE TO SUSTAIN
MESOCYCLONES IN EWD TRACKING CELLS. STORM IN SALINE COUNTY HAS
SUPERCELL STRUCTURE AND WILL NEED TO MONITORED CLOSELY AS IT MOVES
TOWARD THE WRN PARTS OF LITTLE ROCK OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

..CARBIN.. 11/13/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...

34989128 34699137 34539243 34409316 34619338 35039253
35319204 35449149 

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