[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Nov 5 22:57:10 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 052256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052255 
MOZ000-ARZ000-060030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2375
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 PM CST SAT NOV 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MO / NRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 052255Z - 060030Z

THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM OVER SRN MO THIS EVENING...PERHAPS EXTENDING
INTO NRN AR. A WW MAY BE NEEDED SOON FOR DAMAGING WIND AND SOME
HAIL.

ALTHOUGH 18Z SGF SOUNDING SHOWED PRONOUNCED CAP...STRONG CONVERGENCE
WITH COLD FRONT AND COOLING ALOFT WILL HELP STORMS TO FORM OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE HOURS. GIVEN STRONG LINEAR FORCING...A SQUALL LINE
APPEARS TO BE THE MAIN CONVECTIVE MODE...ALTHOUGH VEERING LOW LEVEL
WIND PROFILES AHEAD OF THIS LINE SUGGEST EMBEDDED MESOCYCLONES
POSSIBLE AS WELL.  THUS...WIND DAMAGE WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

..JEWELL.. 11/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

37809377 37769029 35679074 35689424 

WWWW