[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 310632
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310632 
TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-310800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1085
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0132 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN CO...SWRN KS...OK PANHANDLE...TX
PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 360...

VALID 310632Z - 310800Z

BOW ECHO OVER PORTIONS RANDALL/SWISHER COUNTIES TX AS OF 615Z MAY
PRODUCE OCCASIONAL DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL AS IT MOVES ESEWD
TOWARD CDS AREA...ALONG ISODROSOTHERMAL GRADIENT ANALYZED IN 00Z 850
MB CHART.  ISOLATED SEVERE POTENTIAL ALSO MAY CONTINUE WITHIN
PRESENT WW AREA AFTER SCHEDULED 8Z EXPIRATION. THREAT DOES NOT
APPEAR WIDESPREAD/INTENSE ENOUGH TO WARRANT ADDITIONAL WW ATTM BUT
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

MEANWHILE...MORE ISOLATED STRONG-SEVERE TSTMS SHOULD CROSS NM BORDER
INTO SWRN PORTIONS WW -- INCLUDING SUPERCELL THAT SHOULD MOVE SEWD
ACROSS COCHRAN COUNTY. LATTER STORM PRODUCED REPORT OF 2 INCH HAIL
IN ROOSEVELT COUNTY NM DURING PAST HALF HOUR.  HOWEVER...ACTIVITY
WILL BE ENCOUNTERING INCREASING CINH WITH SEWD EXTENT...AS EVIDENT
IN BOTH MODIFIED RAOBS AND RUC SOUNDINGS...AND IN DISSIPATION TREND
OF FORMER LEA/GAINES COUNTY STORM FARTHER S.

ELSEWHERE...STRONG/POSSIBLY SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING SEWD ACROSS LAA AREA AND REMAINDER PROWERS/BACA
COUNTIES...WHERE SMALL POCKET OF ELEVATED MUCAPES 500-1000 J/KG
APPEARS TO REMAIN BEHIND EARLIER ACTIVITY.  THIS CONVECTION SHOULD
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES RATHER SEWD TOWARD SW KS.
SEVERE THREAT HAS DIMINISHED ENOUGH ACROSS SOME AREAS OF WW THAT
HAVE BEEN SUBSTANTIALLY STABILIZE4D BY TX PANHANDLE MCS...THAT WW
MAY BE CLEARED OVER PORTIONS NWRN TX AND WRN OK PANHANDLES. 
HOWEVER...ISOLATED HAIL MAY OCCUR FROM TSTMS DEVELOPING ATOP COLD
POOL OVER ERN NM -- INVOF I-40 -- AS THIS ACTIVITY MOVES EWD INTO TX
PANHANDLE.

..EDWARDS.. 05/31/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...ABQ...

33000195 33000364 38300283 38320099 35090161 34930084
34750016 34599997 34369993 34030011 33000194 

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