[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 301926
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301925 
FLZ000-GAZ000-302130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1078
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH FL AND S-CENTRAL/SERN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 301925Z - 302130Z

THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS NRN FL AND
S-CENTRAL INTO SERN GA DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. AREA IS BEING
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS NEAR 70F ARE CONTRIBUTING TO
100MB MLCAPE VALUES OF AROUND 1500 J/KG. STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
IS DECAYING ACROSS THIS REGION CURRENTLY...WITH BAND OF MODERATE WLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW /35-40KT AT 500MB/ ACROSS NRN FL/SRN GA. WITH MINIMAL
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND ELONGATED WSW-ENE BANDS OF TOWERING CU
EVIDENT ON VISIBLE IMAGERY...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
APPEARS LIKELY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. MAGNITUDE OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
IS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED/LONG-LIVED CELLS CONTAINING LARGE HAIL
AND POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONAL LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AS
STORMS INTERACT WITH EAST COAST SEABREEZE MAY LOCALLY ENHANCE SEVERE
THREAT AS STORMS TRACK EWD AT 20-25KT.

..BANACOS.. 05/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...TAE...

31218366 31438305 31658216 31628161 31428140 30598144
30038132 29788133 29498150 29388197 29388246 29698297
29998346 30158359 30478365 30928382 

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