[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 301603
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301603 
FLZ000-301800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1074
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 301603Z - 301800Z

STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SEVERE THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED.

VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH MID/UPPER 70S DEW POINTS IS
DESTABILIZING WITH HEATING ACROSS INTERIOR AND EASTERN COASTAL AREAS
OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.  ALTHOUGH PRESENCE OF MID-LEVEL
RIDGING IS PROVIDING UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO TIMING OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT...ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR SOUTHEAST COASTAL
SEA BREEZE MAY INITIATE STORMS AS EARLY AS 18-21Z.  WITH MIXED LAYER
CAPE LIKELY TO INCREASE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY.  SOME
HAIL IS POSSIBLE...BUT SHEAR IS WEAK...AND  PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
ISOLATED MICROBURSTS.

..KERR.. 05/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...

25188083 25968072 26408103 26778122 27298086 27768056
27918049 

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