[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 250017
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250017 
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-250215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0995
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0717 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE OK...SW AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 325...

VALID 250017Z - 250215Z

STORM COMPLEX CENTERED SE OF FSM AND ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF
EARLIER MCV CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH STRONG COLD POOL BEHIND IT
ACROSS NERN OK.  OVERALL COMPLEX IS MOVING SE AT 35 KTS WITH
CONTINUED REDEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER OF
THE COMPLEX...ALONG A CONVERGENCE LINE.  THE LINE WAS ORIENTED
EAST/WEST FROM ABOUT 35 SE OF FSM TO ABOUT 40 N OF ADM...WITH A
DEPTH OF 1.5 KM.  MLCAPE CONTINUES AROUND 2000 J/KG ALONG AND SOUTH
OF CONVERGENCE ZONE...AND LATEST RUC MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG IT INTO THE
EARLY EVENING.

ERN AND SERN PTN WATCH HAS STORMS CONTINUING TO BE STRONG TO
OCCASIONALLY SEVERE AS THEY DEVELOP ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY...AND MOVE SLOWLY ESEWD WITH MLCAPE STILL AROUND 2000 J/KG.
 ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS.

..BOTHWELL.. 05/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...

35169596 35439449 35079314 34939276 33039173 33079468