[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242214
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242213 
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-242345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0992
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0513 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN C.O..NWRN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 322...

VALID 242213Z - 242345Z

SCATTERED TSTMS -- INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS -- OVER NERN CO ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD AND SEWD INTO NWRN KS.  ACTIVITY WILL ENCOUNTER
AXIS OF MAX CINH - NOW EVIDENT N-S ACROSS WRN KS -- BUT ALSO
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRONG LOW LEVEL INFLOW.  WW WILL
BE REQUIRED OVER NWRN KS.

VIS IMAGERY SHOWS WELL-DEFINED ARC OF CUMULI EXTENDING FROM SRN
PORTION WW 324 SWD THROUGH NORTON/SHERIDAN/NESS/CLARK COUNTIES KS
AND WOODS COUNTY OK..MOVING WWD 10-15 KT.  THIS ALSO DENOTES 60 DEG
F SFC ISODROSOTHERM ACROSS KS. SFC MOIST AXIS EXTENDS NWWD FROM SRN
PORTION OF THAT PLUME...AND IS ANALYZED FROM WOODS COUNTY OK NWWD
THROUGH DDC TO ITR...THEN INTO ONGOING CONVECTION.  PRIND POTENTIAL
MCS WILL FAVOR THIS AXIS -- ALTHOUGH ANY CONVECTION SURVIVING SFC
DRY POCKET BETWEEN GLD-MCK WILL MOVE INTO RICHER MOIST PLUME AS
WELL.  FAVORABLE STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW WINDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH
15-20 KT 850 MB SELYS OBSERVED AT GLD VWP.  THIS -- COMBINED WITH
FORCED ASCENT ALONG OUTFLOWS...MAY OVERCOME CINH ENOUGH TO SUSTAIN
ACTIVITY AND ORGANIZE AN MCS.

..EDWARDS.. 05/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

39160206 39160504 40960522 40990216 39160211 39990211
40000000 38249994 38250206 

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