[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 231011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231010 
OKZ000-231115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0966
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0510 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 231010Z - 231115Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST WITH
DEVELOPING STORMS W OF WW 312. ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED
ATTM.

TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER ERN CANADIAN/WRN OKLAHOMA AND SRN
LINCOLN COUNTIES ALONG SWD-SURGING MCS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WHICH
EXTENDED FROM CNTRL CANADIAN INTO NRN HUGHES COUNTY AS OF 1000Z. RUC
PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT AIR MASS IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE
OWING TO STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. HOWEVER...A CONSIDERABLE
AMOUNT OF WARM AIR BETWEEN THE LFC AND SHALLOW SURFACE INVERSION IS
LIKELY DILUTING PARCEL BUOYANCY. WHILE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL/GUSTY WINDS WILL EXIST WITH STRONGEST STORMS...RELATIVELY WEAK
VERTICAL SHEAR THROUGH THE CLOUD BEARING LAYER...IN ADDITION TO THE
STRONG LOW-LEVEL CIN SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT.

..MEAD.. 05/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

35669845 35919821 35869697 35579669 35089656 34869661
34799705 34889757 35029807 35229852 

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