[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 160048
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160047 
TXZ000-NMZ000-160145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0888
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 PM CDT SUN MAY 15 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NM / FAR W TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 279...

VALID 160047Z - 160145Z

00Z EPZ SOUNDING SHOWS VERY DEEP MIXED LAYER WITH LARGE AMOUNT OF
DCAPE SUGGESTING SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE DESPITE WEAK
WINDS ALOFT.  ENVIRONMENT FARTHER E HAS BECOME SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEWPOINTS.  GIVEN
FAST FORWARD SPEED OF CONVECTIVE COMPLEX THAT HAS FORMED...EXPECT
WIND THREAT TO TRANSLATE SEWD INTO SRN AND SERN AREAS OF WW.
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST CORES
AS WELL.

..JEWELL.. 05/16/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

30620420 30630744 32290709 32910617 33250535 33840454
34780422 34750321 

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