[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 110240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110239 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-110315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0811
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN TX...WRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 241...242...

VALID 110239Z - 110315Z

TRENDS FOR SVR SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER THE REMAINING VALID
PORTIONS OF WW/S 241 AND 242. THUS BOTH WW/S WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE AT 03Z.

BASED ON 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM AMA AND MAF FOR CONDITIONS OVER WW/S 241
AND 242...MUCINH HAS INCREASED TO OVER 100 J/KG. INCREASING SSELY
LOW LEVEL JET NOTED ON RECENT PROFILER DATA...FCST TO INCREASE TO
OVER 40 KTS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS MAY AID IN SUSTAINING THE
STRONGEST STORM CLUSTERS OVER NRN/WRN PORTIONS OF WW 241 AND NERN
PORTION OF WW 242 UNTIL 04Z-05Z. INCREASING CINH TO OVER 200 J/KG
AND LIKELY DEMISE OF THE CONVECTION BEYOND THAT TIME FRAME SHOULD
PRECLUDE ANY NEED FOR REPLACEMENT WW/S OVER THE REGION.

..CROSBIE.. 05/11/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...MAF...

32250191 32740263 34060176 36990051 37079906 36659874
35759940 34860065 33580138 

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