[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 101835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101835 
GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-102030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0802
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0135 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN MS...NCNTRL AL...FAR WRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101835Z - 102030Z

STORM INITIATION IS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS NRN AL. THE ENVIRONMENT
SUGGESTS ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
HAIL AND/OR ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE. A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY THIS
AFTERNOON ONCE STORM COVERAGE CAN BE DETERMINED.

OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW DESTABILIZATION OCCURRING
ACROSS NRN AL WHERE SBCAPE VALUES RANGE FROM 1500 TO 2000 J/KG. AS A
RESULT OF SFC HEATING...THE CAPPING INVERSION IS GONE. IN
ADDITION...THE PROFILER IN NE MS IS SHOWING A WIND SPEED INCREASE AT
6 KM WHICH MIGHT SHOW EVIDENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX IN NW
FLOW BEHIND THE UPPER-TROUGH. AS CELLS INITIATE FROM THE TOWERING CU
EVIDENT ON VIS IMAGERY...THE SPEED MAX MAY ENHANCE THE SEVERE THREAT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE INSTABILITY ALONG WITH COLD AIR ALOFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LOW AND THE ENHANCED SHEAR WILL MAKE LARGE
HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 05/10/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

32778851 33398867 34188826 34598605 34418542 33758499
33158511 32788637 32558819 

WWWW