[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 101634
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101633 
GAZ000-SCZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-101830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0801
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE AL...SRN AND ERN GA...WRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101633Z - 101830Z

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP QUICKLY THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS SE AL...SRN GA...ERN GA AND WRN SC. THE STRONGER
CELLS WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE.
A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN UPPER-TROUGH MOVING EWD
ACROSS WRN GA WITH THE RUC ANALYSIS SHOWING A SECONDARY VORT MAX
ACROSS MS. THESE FEATURES WILL PROVIDE STRONG SUPPORT FOR SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS AS SFC TEMPS
WARM THIS AFTERNOON. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS SBCAPE
VALUES ABOVE 1000 J/KG ACROSS ERN GA AND PARTS OF SRN AL WITH
MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAINLY FROM SWRN GA EXTENDING WWD ACROSS
THE SRN HALF OF MS. AS CELLS INITIATE ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE
INSTABILITY AXIS AND MOVE SEWD...THE MODERATE SHEAR AND COLD AIR
ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-TROUGH SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR LARGE
HAIL AND/OR ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE.

..BROYLES.. 05/10/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

31958181 33598151 34668202 34758295 34348335 33938345
32968356 32148403 32238637 31858709 31118704 30748660
30578425 30818255 

WWWW