[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 080237
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080237 
MNZ000-NDZ000-080330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0767
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0937 PM CDT SAT MAY 07 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225...

VALID 080237Z - 080330Z

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 225 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS
SCHEDULED AT 03Z.

CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW HAS SURGED THROUGH MUCH OF WARM SECTOR ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA/EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA.  THOUGH CONDITIONAL
INSTABILITY IN THE LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERE...ABOVE NEAR SURFACE
INVERSION LAYER...REMAINS SUFFICIENT FOR DEEP CONVECTION IN ARC OF
STRONGER FORCING AHEAD OF MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE...SEVERE THREAT
APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING.  LARGE-SCALE FORCING APPEARS LIKELY TO
EXHAUST REMAINING ELEVATED INSTABILITY ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
BY 06Z...WHEN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD END.

..KERR.. 05/08/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

46740135 47640142 48270025 48369839 48049739 47199693
46499676 46279765 46479854 46709911 46430067 

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