[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 070211
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070211 
KSZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-070315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0752
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0911 PM CDT FRI MAY 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NE NM...SE CO...WRN OK AND TX PNHDLS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 221...

VALID 070211Z - 070315Z

CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE WW MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT
03Z.

INTENSE CONVECTION NEAR LEE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS IS SLOWER TO DIMINISH.  FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT WAVE
ROUNDING BASE OF SOUTHERN PLATEAU UPPER TROUGH MAY BE ENHANCING THIS
ACTIVITY...WHICH MAY REMAIN STRONG/SEVERE FOR AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND
03Z...AS IT SPREADS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OKLAHOMA/TEXAS PANHANDLES
INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS. AS NEAR SURFACE INVERSION DEEPENS WITH
CONTINUED RADIATIONAL COOLING...SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BECOME LIMITED
TO LARGE HAIL...AND THIS RISK WILL DIMINISH WITH EASTWARD
PROGRESSION INTO COOLER/POTENTIALLY LESS UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT EAST
OF THE HIGH PLAINS.

..KERR.. 05/07/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...ABQ...

36020348 37000339 37910248 38300106 37959989 36360045
34250165 33030204 32330318 32500401 33090454 34750361 

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