[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061921 
MIZ000-WIZ000-ILZ000-062115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0745
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 PM CDT FRI MAY 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...UPPER MI/ERN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061921Z - 062115Z

TSTMS HAVE BEGUN DEVELOPING ACROSS UPPER MI/NERN WI PARTLY IN
RESPONSE TO INCREASING CONVERGENCE ALONG A PREFRONTAL TROUGH NOW
ACROSS CNTRL WI. SFC TEMPS HAVE INCREASED INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS
ERN WI WHERE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS CU FILED IS
BECOMING AGITATED. RUC ANALYSIS INDICATES SBCAPE VALUES AOA 1000
J/KG...WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 35 KT. UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL PROVIDE LARGER SCALE FORCING FOR STORMS...AS BOUNDARY LAYER
CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE. TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS ON THE ORDER OF
15-20 DEGREES AND MODERATELY STRONG WINDS ALOFT SUGGEST STRONG/SVR
WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS AS WELL AS
LARGE HAIL.

..TAYLOR.. 05/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...MQT...GRB...LOT...MKX...ARX...

46718763 44918915 42599036 42378766 42658707 43428657
46098573 46448616 46748695 

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