[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061806
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061806 
UTZ000-WYZ000-062030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0743
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0106 PM CDT FRI MAY 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...UT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061806Z - 062030Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL
EXIST OVER MUCH OF UT THIS AFTERNOON. THE THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR
SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO WARRANT A WW.

UPPER VORT MAX AND ATTENDANT MID LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE NEWD TOWARD
THE 4-CORNERS REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH ASSOCIATED ZONE OF ASCENT
SPREADING NEWD THROUGH MUCH OF UT. TEMPERATURES ARE RISING INTO THE
60S OVER MUCH OF UT...WHILE DEWPOINTS CONTINUE TO MIX DOWN INTO THE
30S. DESPITE COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND STRONG SURFACE HEATING
DOWNSTREAM FROM ONGOING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER... RELATIVELY DRY
BOUNDARY LAYERS WILL LIMIT MLCAPE TO AOB 300 J/KG. STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE DEVELOPING WITHIN THE ZONE OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND SPREAD
NEWD THROUGH UT THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE LIMITED INSTABILITY...DRY
WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYERS AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL TEND TO
PROMOTE ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS. MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY ALSO
BE POSSIBLE. OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL IS LIMITED BY WEAK
INSTABILITY.

..DIAL.. 05/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GJT...SLC...

37251114 38821234 39821374 41181338 41621160 40290955
38990918 37390942 37071003 

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