[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052209
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052209 
UTZ000-IDZ000-NVZ000-052345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0742
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0509 PM CDT THU MAY 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN ID...FAR NERN NV...NRN UT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 052209Z - 052345Z

ISOLATED SVR STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND SVR HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA THROUGH 02Z. OVERALL THREAT APPEARS
TO BE MARGINAL AND A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

LATEST IR IMAGERY SHOWS A VORT MAX ROTATING NWD ACROSS ERN NV.
CONVECTION AHEAD OF THIS VORT MAX HAS ORGANIZED INTO LINES ACROSS
NRN UT/FAR NERN NV. AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM OF THIS CONVECTIVE LINES WAS
DEEPLY MIXED WITH 30-35 F TEMP/DEWPT SPREADS. GIVEN STRENGTH OF LOW
LVL WIND FIELDS...COUPLED WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NRN UT/FAR NERN NV.

FARTHER NW...HIGHER DEWPTS IN THE 40S/LOWER 50S WILL SUPPORT SBCAPES
AROUND 1500 J/KG. MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR /AROUND 35 KTS/ AND STEEP
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SVR HAIL
ACROSS SRN ID.

..CROSBIE.. 05/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...BOI...LKN...

42791242 43341479 43111598 42761656 42001699 41581649
41131506 40931318 40781194 41231135 42401130 

WWWW