[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Wed May 4 20:14:50 UTC 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 042024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042024 
FLZ000-042230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0735
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0324 PM CDT WED MAY 04 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...E CNTRL THROUGH S FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 220...

VALID 042024Z - 042230Z

THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING. GREATEST THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER S FL GENERALLY NEAR AND 
S OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM NEAR MIAMI
THEN CURVES NWWD TO ABOUT 45 MILES SE OF FORT MYERS. THE WARM SECTOR
REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE S OF THIS BOUNDARY WITH MLCAPE FROM 2000
TO 2500 J/KG. MODEST SSWLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IMPINGING ON THE
BOUNDARY WILL MAINTAIN LIFT AND CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG AND NE
OF THIS FEATURE. SWWD BACKBUILDING MAY BECOME POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO AS THE COLD POOL BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED...RESULTING
IN SWWD MOVEMENT OF THE BOUNDARY. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR MULTICELL AS WELL AS OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.

..DIAL.. 05/04/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

26478185 26768131 27678117 28298151 28638135 28738081
27968050 26848006 26048010 25388043 25168098 25598121
25998174 

WWWW





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