[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 302154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302154 
ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-302300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0439
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0354 PM CST WED MAR 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MN...CENTRAL/SRN WI...NERN IA/NWRN IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 106...

VALID 302154Z - 302300Z

ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER WW 106...MAINLY WITH LEAD
SUPERCELLS AND ADDITIONAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER SERN/ECENTRAL
WI DURING THE NEXT 2 HOURS. FARTHER WEST...LINEAR ORGANIZATION OF
PRIMARY CONVECTIVE LINE SUGGESTS THAT TORNADO THREAT HAS
LESSENED...BUT A SVR THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER FAR SERN
MN..SWRN/CENTRAL WI AND NWRN IL AHEAD OF THIS LINEAR AS STEEP LAPSE
RATES EXIST IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. A RAIN COOLED AIRMASS BEHIND THIS
LINE SUGGESTS THAT SVR THREAT IS WANING OVER NERN IA...FAR SWRN
WI/FAR NWRN IL.

ISOLATED SUPERCELLS OVER DODGE AND WRN FOND DU LAC CO/S WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ENEWD TOWARDS THE COOLER TEMPERATURE OF NERN
WI/LAKESHORE COUNTIES OF ECENTRAL WI DURING THE NEXT HOUR. PRIOR TO
MOVING INTO A MORE UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT...SUPERCELL INTERACTION
WITH NWD RETREATING WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE LOW LEVEL
SHEAR AND SUPPORT THREAT FOR TORNADOES FOR THE NEXT HOUR.

..CROSBIE.. 03/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...LOT...MKX...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...

41838887 42748762 43848890 44828989 45619071 44569252
44259261 42809159 41719032 41278956 

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