[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 300300
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300300 
KSZ000-OKZ000-300430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0429
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0900 PM CST TUE MAR 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL KS...NRN OK

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 300300Z - 300430Z

...ISOLATED STRONG STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF KS AND OK...

STRONG FRONTAL ASCENT APPEARS TO BE FORCING PARCELS THROUGH CAPPING
INVERSION FROM SCNTRL PORTIONS OF KS...SWD INTO CNTRL OK.  VERTICAL
SHEAR PROFILES ARE MORE THAN ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED
UPDRAFTS...SO IT SEEMS REASONABLE THAT DESPITE MARGINAL INSTABILITY
ONGOING ISOLATED ACTIVITY MAY LINGER FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE
WEAKENING.  STEEP LAPSE RATES MAY ENHANCE THE HAIL/WIND
THREAT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SCNTRL KS WHERE ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE
LINEAR IN NATURE.  WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

..DARROW.. 03/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

35299782 36529766 38369818 39499736 39239628 37249622
35579669 

WWWW