[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 300133
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300132 
NEZ000-KSZ000-300300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0428
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 PM CST TUE MAR 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL NEB

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 300132Z - 300300Z

...A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEB
THIS EVENING...

STRONG ASCENT WITHIN EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET HAS SPREAD NORTH OF
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED NE-SW ACROSS NEB.  00Z SOUNDING FROM LBF
INDICATES VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES FROM SFC-6KM...WITH LOWER 40S DEW
POINTS YIELDING CAPE VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 500 J/KG.  CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO EXPAND AND SPREAD NEWD...MAINLY TO THE WEST-NORTH OF
SFC BOUNDARY WHERE ASCENT IS MAXIMIZED.  CONVECTION HAS STRUGGLED TO
ORGANIZE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...APPARENTLY DUE TO SLIGHTLY CAPPED
AIR MASS.  LATEST THINKING IS A FEW STRONG STORMS...SOME PRODUCING
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL...WILL SPREAD NEWD IN RESPONSE TO UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  NO WW IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

..DARROW.. 03/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...

40780087 42089986 42279783 41529739 40619863 39689980 

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