[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 281256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281256 
NCZ000-VAZ000-281430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0426
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 AM CST MON MAR 28 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 281256Z - 281430Z

INTERESTING SCENARIO HAS UNFOLDED ACROSS ERN NC THIS MORNING. 
TREMENDOUS LOW-LEVEL SHEAR VCNTY BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER ERN NC WAS
SAMPLED IN 12Z RAOBS WITH MORE THAN 30 KTS OF 0-1 KM SHEAR. STORMS
HAVE BEEN FORMING ALONG THE COAST MOST OF THE MORNING AND A FEW
CELLS ARE BEGINNING TO SHOW LOW-LEVEL ROTATION OVER SERN NC.  THESE
STORMS WILL MOVE NEWD OVER THE WARM FRONT THROUGH 14Z AND MAY
PRODUCE AN ISOLD TORNADO...DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

MEANWHILE...A SUPERCELL NEAR KCHS SPLIT EARLIER IN THE MORNING WITH
THE LEFT-MOVING MEMBER MOVING NWD AT NEAR 80 KTS THROUGH THE KRDU
AREA WITH VERY LARGE HAIL.  STORM MORPHOLOGY WAS RATHER COMPLICATED
WITH BOTH ANTICYCLONIC AND CYCLONIC LOW-MIDLEVEL ROTATIONS DURING
ITS LIFE CYCLE.  OTHER STORM SPLITS MAY OCCUR AND A HAIL THREAT
COULD EXTEND NWD INTO SRN VA THROUGH MID-MORNING.

ATTM...A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT IF CELLS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN
UPSWING IN ORGANIZATION...ONE MAY BE REQUIRED.

..RACY.. 03/28/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

33917797 34997876 36887846 36827597 34647550 33567701 

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