[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 231920
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231920 
FLZ000-232045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0368
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0120 PM CST WED MAR 23 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 231920Z - 232045Z

SRN FL IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL DAMAGING WIND THREAT
ASSOCIATED MAINLY WITH A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...CURRENTLY LOCATED
OVER THE ERN GULF AT 10-40 MILES W OF THE FL COAST.

THE AIR MASS OVER SRN FL HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE AS A RESULT
OF SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE MID-UPPER 80S AND SURFACE
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70. DESPITE CAPE/SHEAR
PARAMETERS BEING FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED STORMS...VEERED LOW LEVEL
WINDS ACROSS SRN FL ARE EXPECTED TO MINIMIZE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
GUST FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE ERN GULF LINE OF STORMS.  THUS...
FORWARD SPEED AND OVERALL POTENTIAL DEGREE OF SEVERITY OF THIS LINE
WILL BE MAINLY FORCED BY THE STRENGTH OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD POOL. 
CURRENT SPEED OF THIS LINE /AROUND 27 KT/ INDICATED A LOW THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...WITH THE LINE OF STORMS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO
CHARLOTTE/LEE COUNTIES ATTM AND INTO THE REST OF THE SWRN PENINSULA
BY 20-21Z.  

HOWEVER...THIS LINE WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR ANY INCREASE
IN MOTION AND SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN SEVERE POTENTIAL.

..PETERS.. 03/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...EYW...TBW...

26818237 27408026 26517994 25318018 24988072 24968103
25808180 

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