[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 231742
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231742 
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-231915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0367
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1142 AM CST WED MAR 23 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN NC AND SERN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 231742Z - 231915Z

MUCH OF CENTRAL INTO ERN NC AND SERN VA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A WW.


OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOW AIR MASS IS DESTABILIZING...ALTHOUGH WEAKLY
UNSTABLE ATTM WITH MLCAPE AROUND 500 J/KG...ACROSS NRN SC INTO SRN
NC.  VIS IMAGERY INDICATED AN INCREASE IN THE CU FIELD ALONG/E OF
SURFACE TROUGH WHICH EXTENDED FROM A SURFACE LOW 25 E GSO SWWD TO 30
SE CLT TO 35 SE AHN.  ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING ALONG/E OF THIS
TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN FURTHER DESTABILIZATION ACROSS
CENTRAL INTO ERN NC AND SERN VA.  NWD EXTENT FOR DECREASING
CLOUDINESS IS EXPECTED TO BE DELINEATED BY A WARM FRONT WHICH
EXTENDED NEWD FROM THE SURFACE LOW TO SRN DELMARVA.  STRONG
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER SPEED SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS AS THE INSTABILITY BECOMES STRONG ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SUSTAINED
UPDRAFTS E OF THE SURFACE LOW AND SURFACE TROUGH.

..PETERS.. 03/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...

34838062 35897958 36597819 37377682 37437564 36437546
35127526 34287689 33647831 

WWWW