[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 230916
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230916 
SCZ000-GAZ000-231045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0362
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0316 AM CST WED MAR 23 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/WRN SC...S-CENTRAL AND ERN GA...E
OF WWS 73/74

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 230916Z - 231045Z

LINE OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS S-CENTRAL/E-CENTRAL GA MAY
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY GRADUALLY...WITH OCCASIONAL DAMAGING WIND AND
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE.  AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR
POSSIBLE WW.

AS OF 9Z...PRIMARY BAND OF CONVECTION...WITH EMBEDDED
TSTMS...EXTENDED FROM VICINITY ABY NEWD TO NEAR AGS.  WIDELY
SCATTERED INTENSIFYING TSTMS EXTENDED FARTHER NEWD ACROSS
CENTRAL/WRN SC.  ACTIVITY WAS INTENSIFYING IN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WARM
SECTOR LOCATED SE OF PIEDMONT FRONT...WHICH WAS ANALYZED FROM
CAE...AGS...50 WNW MCN.  OTHER...MORE WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION
OVER SWRN GA AND CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE MAY LINK WITH GA LINE OVER
NEXT 2-3 HOURS.  WEAK LAPSE RATES IN LOWEST 50-100 MB LAYER AGL MAY
LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE DOWNDRAFTS TO PENETRATE TO SFC.
HOWEVER...ROUGHLY 1500 J/KG ELEVATED MUCAPE AND EFFECTIVE LAYER SRH
250-350 J/KG...INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY TO
BECOME ORGANIZED INTO BOWS AND/OR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS...ENHANCING
UPDRAFT/DOWNDRAFT STRENGTH AND HAIL POTENTIAL.

..EDWARDS.. 03/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

31178444 32208378 33588230 34238151 34148076 33418091
32488135 31338215 30938329 30988422 

WWWW