[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 230336
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230336 
GAZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-230500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0355
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0936 PM CST TUE MAR 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...AL...WRN GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 72...

VALID 230336Z - 230500Z

CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
DEEP SOUTH TONIGHT AS STRONG MID LEVEL JET OF 80KT TRANSLATES ACROSS
MOIST/UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR FROM AL INTO WRN GA. A NEW WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN AL AND WRN GA SHORTLY.

STORMS ARE CONTINUING TO INCREASE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
WRN AL ATTM. LATEST MESOANALYSIS DATA SUGGESTS THAT AIRMASS TO THE
EAST OF THIS CONVECTION REMAINS MOIST AND WEAKLY UNSTABLE WITH
MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 500 J/KG IN A CORRIDOR FOCUSED ALONG WARM/WEDGE
FRONT...GENERALLY ALONG A NW-SE LINE FROM MSL TO BHM TO MGM. STORMS
DEVELOPING AND MOVING INTO OR ALONG THE WEDGE FRONTAL ZONE WILL HAVE
ACCESS TO VERY HIGH 0-1KM SRH ON THE ORDER OF 250-300 M2/S2 AND THIS
COULD FURTHER ENHANCE TORNADO POTENTIAL. AS UPPER TROUGH SPREADS
GRADUALLY EWD...STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT SHOULD PROMOTE ADDITIONAL
TSTM DEVELOPMENT AND A NEW WATCH MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF ERN
AL AND WRN GA SHORTLY.

..CARBIN.. 03/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...

30908690 30818845 32038853 34288814 34298583 33538514
33188467 32808378 31978372 31158453 

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