[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 212310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212310 
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-220045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0326
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0510 PM CST MON MAR 21 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN/NERN TX...SWRN AR...WRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 212310Z - 220045Z

A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SHORTLY FOR PORTIONS OF NERN
AND ERN TX...SWRN AR...AND WRN LA.

STRONG MID LEVEL WIND MAX OF 70-80KT ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP LAYER
CYCLONE OVER NWRN OK WILL TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS INSTABILITY AXIS NEXT
FEW HOURS. IN RESPONSE TO LARGE SCALE FORCING AND MESOSCALE MIXING
ALONG THE DRYLINE...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS INTO
THE LATE EVENING. LATEST MESOANALYSIS DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
ROTATING STORMS/SUPERCELLS AND DEGREE OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND
LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTS THAT A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

..CARBIN.. 03/21/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

29169519 28829774 32759602 33869556 33789287 31709286
29939394 

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