[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 212114
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212114 
TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-212245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0323
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0314 PM CST MON MAR 21 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/ERN OK INTO SRN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 56...

VALID 212114Z - 212245Z

TORNADO POTENTIAL EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS NWRN PORTION OF WW 56
AND SEWD ALONG/E OF DRY LINE.

REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED CONVECTION INCREASING WITHIN THE NARROW WARM
SECTOR ACROSS NWRN OK...ALONG/JUST EAST OF A COLD FRONT SINCE 1930Z.
SURFACE ANALYSES/VIS IMAGERY INDICATED A TRIPLE POINT IN ERN
KINGFISHER COUNTY OK...WITH THE DRY LINE EXTENDING SEWD TOWARD TIK
AND THEN SWD TO ALONG THE RED RIVER IN GRAYSON COUNTY TX.  ALTHOUGH
THE STRONGEST STORMS HAD BEEN LOCATED JUST NORTHWEST OF WW 56 IN SRN
KS...SIMILAR STORM INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SEWD ALONG/E OF
THE DRY LINE AND NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT AS THE COLD FRONT ADVANCES
EWD.  SEVERE PARAMETERS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH
TORNADOES.

..PETERS.. 03/21/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...DDC...

37309992 36849962 36419914 36319850 35689837 35249776
33839688 33839510 36969680 37409862 

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