[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 200104
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200103 
TXZ000-200230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0313
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0703 PM CST SAT MAR 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 54...

VALID 200103Z - 200230Z

LARGE CLUSTER OF VIGOROUS DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE NRN
PORTIONS OF SEVERE TSTM WATCH NUMBER 54. A COUPLE OF POTENT
SUPERCELLS WERE ALSO WITHIN SRN PARTS OF THE WATCH AND MOVING ACROSS
SAN PATRICIO AND NUECES COUNTIES.

EXPECT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH
LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS VALID PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. CLUSTER OF STORMS IN THE NRN PART
OF THE WATCH APPEARS TO BE A WEAKLY ORGANIZED MCS WHICH SHOULD
CONTINUE TO TRACK EWD ALONG THE RESIDUAL BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING
EAST ACROSS THE SABINE RIVER AND INTO WRN/SRN LA. DESPITE A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN INSTABILITY GIVEN THE TIME OF DAY...THIS COMPLEX MAY
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE OCCASIONAL SEVERE WEATHER INTO LATE EVENING AND
AN ADDITIONAL WATCH TO THE EAST IS BEING CONSIDERED.

..CARBIN.. 03/20/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

27389620 27419868 31329679 31329418 

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